:: Cohort Default Rates ::
Definition of a cohort default rate
Specific calendar dates for a cohort year
Benefits and sanctions
Challenging your cohort default rate
Our cohort rate analysis services
Resources
Definition of a Cohort Default Rate
For each federal fiscal year (FFY), the Department of Education (ED) calculates a cohort default rate (CDR) for each school, lender and guarantor based on the number of borrowers that went into repayment during that FFY. For cohort purposes, this group of borrowers is commonly referred to as the “repayment base” and the FFY is also known as a “cohort year”. ED publishes CDR draft rates in February and final rates in September.
The CDR is the ratio, or percentage, of the number of borrowers in that repayment base who defaulted over a specified number of years to the total number of borrowers that went into repayment.
The number of years that a borrower’s default could negatively impact the CDR has traditionally been a two-year period: the federal fiscal year the borrower entered repayment and the following year. Starting with the 2009 cohort year, ED has extended the length of time counting the number of borrower defaults from two years to three years. Consequently, cohort years 2009 through 2011 will receive both a two-year and three-year CDR. Cohort year 2012 will be the first to have a three-year CDR only.
Specific Calendar Dates for a Cohort Year
Please select the cohort year you wish to view as a specific example.
2011
Two-Year (Released in 2013)
Borrowers who entered repayment in FFY 2011 and defaulted
from 10/1/10 to 9/30/12 (FFY 2011 or 2012)
Borrowers who entered repayment from 10/1/10 to 9/30/11 (FFY 2011)
Three-Year (Released in 2014)
Borrowers who entered repayment in FFY 2011 and defaulted
from 10/1/10 to 9/30/13 (FFY 2011, 2012 or 2013)
Borrowers who entered repayment from 10/1/10 to 9/30/11 (FFY 2011)
The cohort period will only be three years for cohort years after 2011
2012
Three-Year (Released in 2015)
Borrowers who entered repayment in FFY 2012 and defaulted
from 10/1/11 to 9/30/14 (FFY 2012, 2013 or 2014)
Borrowers who entered repayment from 10/1/11 to 9/30/12 (FFY 2012)
2013
Three-Year (Released in 2016)
Borrowers who entered repayment in FFY 2013 and defaulted
from 10/1/12 to 9/30/15 (FFY 2013, 2014 or 2015)
Borrowers who entered repayment from 10/1/12 to 9/30/13 (FFY 2013)
2014
Three-Year (Released in 2017)
Borrowers who entered repayment in FFY 2014 and defaulted
from 10/1/13 to 9/30/16 (FFY 2014, 2015 or 2016)
Borrowers who entered repayment from 10/1/13 to 9/30/14 (FFY 2014)
Benefits and Sanctions
From Federal Student Aid
Low CDRs bestow certain benefits to schools while high default rates can adversely affect a school’s ability to participate in Title IV programs. With the release of the 2009 three-year CDR, schools may use either their two-year or three-year CDR to determine which benefits are applicable. Current sanction rules will continue to exist for the two-year rates. Beginning with the 2009 three-year rates, any school that's required to establish a default management plan must do so – other sanctions will not begin until after the 2011 three-year rate is released. Please note that once the official three-year rate for 2011 is published in September 2014, only three-year rates will be used for both benefits and sanctions.
Benefits for Schools with Low Cohort Default Rates (Cohort Default Rate Guide 2.4) PDF
Schools whose official cohort default rates were less than 15 percent (using either the two- or three-year rates) for each of the three most recent fiscal years for which data are available may:
- Choose to deliver or disburse loan proceeds in a single installment as long as the student’s loan period is not more than one semester, one trimester, one quarter, or, for non term-based schools or schools with non-standard terms, four months.
- Choose not to delay the delivery or disbursement of the first installment of loan proceeds for first-year, first-time undergraduate borrowers.
Schools whose most recent official cohort default rate is less than 5 percent (using either the two- or three-year rates) and who are eligible home institution that is originating loans to cover the cost of attendance in a study abroad program may:
- Choose to deliver or disburse loan proceeds in a single installment to a student studying abroad regardless of the length of the student’s loan period.
- Choose not to delay the delivery or disbursement of the first installment of loan proceeds for first-year, first-time borrowers studying abroad.
Sanctions for Schools with High Cohort Default Rates (Cohort Default Rate Guide 2.4) PDF
- Under the two-year CDR, schools whose three most recent official cohort default rates are 25 percent or greater:
- Will lose Direct Loan and Pell eligibility for the fiscal year in which the school is notified of its sanction and the following two fiscal years.
- Under the three-year CDR, schools whose official cohort default rates are 30 percent or greater have special sanctions:
- First Year: Establish a default prevention task force to identify the factors causing the CDR to exceed the threshold. The task force should establish measurable objectives and steps that will be taken to improve the CDR. The plan must be submitted to ED for review.
- Second Year: Revise default prevention plan and submit to ED for review. ED may revise the plan and include specific actions the school must take to improve the CDR.
- Third Year: School will lose Direct Loan and Pell eligibility for the fiscal year in which the school is notified of its sanction and for the following two fiscal years*.
- Schools whose current official cohort default rate is greater than 40 percent:
- Will lose Direct Loan eligibility for the remainder of the fiscal year in which the school is notified of its sanction and for the following two fiscal years
- The two-year CDR will be used until September 2014 with the release of the 2011 three-year CDR.
Challenging Your Cohort Default Rate
By challenging the cohort default rate, a school is contesting the accuracy of the Stafford loan records in the StudentAid.gov system as reported by ED and the guarantors. ED and the guarantors receive the information from both schools and lenders. A challenge occurs only on the draft cohort default rates which have been historically released in February of each year. If a school chooses not to challenge a borrower’s data and later finds that data to be incorrect, the school may not appeal the accuracy of the data when the official cohort default rate is released, historically, in September.
The cohort default rate is a formula where the total number of borrowers who entered repayment in a particular year and defaulted in a two- or three-year term is divided by the total number of borrowers entering repayment in that particular year. This formula produces a percentage, which schools hope will be under the current percentage that requires sanctions. To reduce this percentage, the school will either need to 1) reduce the number at the top of the equation or 2) increase the number at the bottom of the equation. All challenges to the draft cohort rates should focus on changing the rate in either of these two ways.
According to the Current Default Rate Guide (PDF), there are two challenges schools can use on the draft cohort default rates and eight adjustments/appeals schools can use on the final draft cohort rates. These are briefly described below:
Draft Cohort Default Rates (Released in February)
- Incorrect Data Challenge – an opportunity for schools to review draft data on the LRDR and correct any errors. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.1)
- Participation Rate Index Challenge – an opportunity for a school to challenge its potential loss of loan eligibility (or after September 2014, provisional certification), due to its official cohort default rate because the school meets the participation rate index requirements for either the two- or three-year calculation. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.2)
Final Cohort Default Rates (Released in September)
- Uncorrected Data Adjustment – an opportunity for a school to appeal changes that should have been made as the result of a successful incorrect data challenge that the school submitted on the draft cohort default rates. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.3)
- New Data Adjustment – an opportunity for a school to challenge the accuracy of new data in the LRDR as a result of the challenge process on the draft cohort default rates and any changes made in StudentAid.gov since ED ran the draft cohort default rate report (approximately 6 months earlier). (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.4)
- Erroneous Data Appeal – an opportunity for a school to appeal its official cohort default rate based on new data or disputed data being included in the rate. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.5)
- Loan Servicing Appeal – an opportunity for a school to appeal its official cohort default rate based on improperly serviced loans being included in the rate. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.6)
- Economically Disadvantaged Appeal – an opportunity for a school to appeal its sanctions due to its official cohort default rate because it has a high number of low-income students; there are two types of appeals 1)low-income and placement rate and 2) low income and completion rate. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.7)
- Participation Rate Index Appeal – an opportunity for a school to appeal its potential loss of loan eligibility (or after September 2014, provisional certification), due to its official cohort default rate because the school meets the participation rate index requirements for either the two- or three-year calculation. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.8)
- Average Rates Appeal – an opportunity for a school to appeal its potential loss of eligibility based on 3 consecutive official cohort rates that are equal to or exceed the sanction rate if at least two of these rates are average rates and would have been less than the sanction rate if they had been calculated using non-average data for that cohort. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.9)
- Thirty-or-Fewer Borrowers Appeal – an opportunity for a school to appeal its sanctions based on its official cohort default rate because a combined total of either 30 or fewer borrowers entering repayment were used to calculate the official default cohort rate in the 3 most recent cohort years. (Cohort Default Rate Guide, Chapter 4.10)
Our Cohort Rate Analysis Services
We provide a free cohort rate analysis to Oklahoma schools, which enables you to use the data supplied annually by the Department of Education to target specific borrower groups that may need extra attention from default management personnel. Learn more about this service.
Resources
- CDR Guide Quick Reference PDF
- CDR Guide for Schools PDF
- CDR Guide for Lenders and Guaranty Agencies PDF
- Search Official CDR for Schools Three-Year Rates
- Search Official CDR for Lenders and Guaranty Agencies Three-Year Rates
- How Deferments and Forbearances Can Help Reduce Cohort Rates